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AI Snake Oil5/1/2025by Sayash Kapoor

AGI is not a milestone

The article argues that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) should not be viewed as a discrete milestone with a clear threshold, but rather as a gradual continuum of increasing capabilities. Rather than a sudden breakthrough moment, AGI development will likely involve incremental improvements that create impacts over time, challenging the common narrative of a singular transformative event.

AGIcapability thresholdAI development
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AI Snake Oil4/15/2025by Arvind Narayanan

AI as Normal Technology

A new paper that we will expand into our next book

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AI Snake Oil12/18/2024by Arvind Narayanan

Is AI progress slowing down?

Making sense of recent technology trends and claims

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AI Snake Oil12/13/2024by Sayash Kapoor

We Looked at 78 Election Deepfakes. Political Misinformation is not an AI Problem.

Researchers examined 78 election-related deepfakes and concluded that the proliferation of political misinformation stems from deliberate human choices rather than technological capability alone. The study suggests that addressing election misinformation requires focusing on human intent and media literacy rather than treating it purely as an AI problem.

deepfakeselection misinformationpolitical disinformation
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AI Snake Oil11/11/2024by Arvind Narayanan

Does the UK’s liver transplant matching algorithm systematically exclude younger patients?

A UK liver transplant matching algorithm may be systematically disadvantaging younger patients due to seemingly minor technical design choices in how it prioritizes recipients. The article examines how algorithmic decisions that appear neutral can actually have significant real-world consequences for patient outcomes and fairness. This raises important questions about the need for transparency and equity audits in medical algorithms.

algorithmic biashealthcare algorithmorgan transplant allocation
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